Premier League Matchday 32 Preview: Chelsea vs. Ipswich Town and Liverpool vs. West Ham United

MO SALAH CASTS DOUBT ON LIVERPOOL FUTURE AS CONTRACT TALKS STALL

As the Premier League season nears its climax, Matchday 32 brings two intriguing fixtures to the forefront: Chelsea vs. Ipswich Town at Stamford Bridge and Liverpool vs. West Ham United at Anfield. With Chelsea chasing a Champions League spot, Ipswich battling inevitable relegation, Liverpool closing in on the title, and West Ham aiming to play spoiler, these matches promise drama, goals, and pivotal moments. Here’s a comprehensive preview, complete with predictions, key statistics, and insights into the stakes for April 13, 2025.


Chelsea vs. Ipswich Town: Blues Seek Revenge at Stamford Bridge

Match Details

  • Date & Time: Sunday, April 13, 2025, 2:00 PM BST
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge, London
  • Broadcast: Expected on Sky Sports (UK) and Peacock (US), subject to final scheduling.

The Context
Chelsea, sitting in the top six, are in the thick of the race for a Champions League berth, bolstered by England’s extra spot for the 2025-26 season. Their home form has been a fortress, with five wins in their last six league games at Stamford Bridge and four consecutive clean sheets across all competitions. However, a shock 2-0 loss to Ipswich at Portman Road in December lingers as a blemish, and Enzo Maresca’s side will be eager to set the record straight.

Ipswich Town, meanwhile, are staring down the barrel of relegation. Rooted in 18th with just 12 points from safety and seven games left, their return to the Premier League has been a struggle. A six-game home losing streak, including a 2-1 defeat to Wolves, underscores their woes, but 65% of their points have come away, hinting at some resilience on the road. Manager Kieran McKenna will look to channel the spirit of their earlier win over Chelsea, though injuries and a lack of firepower make this a daunting task.

Team News and Key Players

  • Chelsea:
    • Form: A goalless draw at Brentford and a 3-0 Conference League win over Legia Warsaw show promise but inconsistency.
    • Stars to Watch: Cole Palmer, with 12 goals this season, including one in the reverse fixture, is the creative hub. Nicolas Jackson’s pace could punish Ipswich’s depleted backline, while Levi Colwill’s return bolsters defense.
    • Injuries: Wesley Fofana and Omari Kellyman are out for the season, Romeo Lavia’s status is unclear, and Mykhailo Mudryk is unavailable. Marc Guiu may return soon.
    • Tactical Note: Maresca’s possession-based style, averaging 55% at home, will aim to exploit Ipswich’s low block, with Palmer drifting into pockets to unlock their defense.
  • Ipswich Town:
    • Form: One win in 2025 and 19 league losses (tied for most) highlight their struggles. Their away xG of 0.9 per game reflects a blunt attack.
    • Stars to Watch: Liam Delap, a reported Chelsea target, scored in the 2-0 win earlier and remains their biggest threat. Leif Davis, back from injury, provides width, but Omari Hutchinson’s potential absence (doubtful) is a blow against his former club.
    • Injuries: Sammie Szmodics, Chiedozie Ogbene, Wes Burns, and Arijanet Muric are sidelined, thinning an already stretched squad.
    • Tactical Note: McKenna’s counter-attacking setup relies on Delap’s hold-up play, but their 19% possession average away suggests they’ll absorb pressure and hope for set-piece chances.

Head-to-Head and Stats

  • Chelsea have dominated historically, winning 11 of 17 league meetings, with Ipswich’s sole victory in that span coming this season (2-0).
  • The Blues are unbeaten in their last six home games against Ipswich, including a 7-0 cup rout in 2011. Ipswich’s last win at Stamford Bridge was in 1993.
  • Chelsea’s home defense has conceded just once in their last four games across all competitions, while Ipswich have scored a league-low nine goals away.
  • Expected goals (xG) favor Chelsea (1.8 home vs. Ipswich’s 0.9 away), pointing to a one-sided affair unless Ipswich replicate their December upset.

Prediction
Chelsea’s hunger to avenge their earlier defeat, combined with their home dominance, makes them overwhelming favorites. Ipswich’s injury crisis and lack of attacking threat—evidenced by their nine away goals in 15 games—suggest they’ll struggle to breach Chelsea’s backline. Palmer and Jackson are poised to capitalize on a tiring Ipswich defense, with the Blues likely to control possession (expect 60%+) and create high-quality chances. While Ipswich’s away grit could keep it close early, Chelsea’s depth should seal a comfortable win.

  • Score Prediction: Chelsea 3-0 Ipswich
  • Key Factors: Chelsea’s clean sheet streak, Ipswich’s depleted squad, and the Blues’ attacking firepower (Palmer’s 0.5 goals per game average).
  • Betting Tip: Chelsea to win with under 3.5 total goals (odds ~2.10), balancing their dominance with Ipswich’s defensive resolve.

Liverpool vs. West Ham United: Reds Aim to Tighten Title Grip

Match Details

  • Date & Time: Sunday, April 13, 2025, 2:00 PM BST
  • Venue: Anfield, Liverpool
  • Broadcast: Likely on Sky Sports (UK) and NBC (US), pending confirmation.

The Context
Liverpool, 11 points clear at the top with seven games to go, are on the verge of clinching the Premier League title. A 3-2 loss at Fulham last time out was a rare stumble—only their second league defeat this season—but their 11 wins in 13 home games since September show Anfield remains a fortress. Having thrashed West Ham 5-0 in the league and 5-1 in the EFL Cup this season, Arne Slot’s men are brimming with confidence.

West Ham, languishing in 16th, are safe from relegation but out of the European race, leaving them with pride to play for. Graham Potter’s side have been erratic, with one win in seven league games, though a 1-0 upset at Arsenal and a draw at Aston Villa hint at their potential to frustrate big teams. Potter’s unbeaten record in his last three league visits to Anfield (with Brighton and Chelsea) adds a layer of intrigue, but facing a title-chasing Liverpool is a different beast.

Team News and Key Players

  • Liverpool:
    • Form: The Fulham defeat ended a 10-game unbeaten run, but their 5-0 and 5-1 routs of West Ham show their firepower.
    • Stars to Watch: Mohamed Salah, fresh off a new contract, leads with 15 goals, thriving in big moments. Virgil van Dijk’s aerial dominance (90% duel win rate) neutralizes West Ham’s long-ball threat, while Trent Alexander-Arnold’s crosses (3.2 per game) will target their flanks.
    • Injuries: No major concerns, though rotation may occur after a congested schedule post-Champions League exit.
    • Tactical Note: Slot’s high-pressing 4-3-3, averaging 2.3 goals per home game, will look to overwhelm West Ham early, with Salah exploiting their high defensive line.
  • West Ham United:
    • Form: Conceding 10 goals to Liverpool this season exposes defensive issues, but Potter’s counter-attacking setup has yielded results against top sides.
    • Stars to Watch: Mohammed Kudus, with 57 completed dribbles, is a dribbling dynamo who could unsettle Liverpool’s backline. Jarrod Bowen’s pace (five goals this season) offers hope on the break.
    • Injuries: Potter has a near-full squad, giving him flexibility to tweak his 4-2-3-1 formation.
    • Tactical Note: West Ham’s 13.8% win probability (per Opta) relies on absorbing pressure (42% possession average) and hitting via Kudus and Bowen, though their 1.9 goals conceded away is a concern.

Head-to-Head and Stats

  • Liverpool have won their last five league games against West Ham, including a 5-0 thrashing this season, with an aggregate 17-3 scoreline in their last four Anfield meetings.
  • West Ham’s last Anfield win was in 2015, and they’ve failed to score in two of their last three league visits.
  • Liverpool’s home xG (2.1) dwarfs West Ham’s away xG (1.0), and the Reds’ 0.8 goals conceded per home game suggests a clean sheet is likely.
  • No team has scored five goals against another three times in a single English top-flight season, but Liverpool are poised to make history.

Prediction
Liverpool’s relentless home form and West Ham’s defensive frailties in prior meetings make this a mismatch on paper. The Reds’ need to rebound from the Fulham loss, coupled with Salah’s form and Anfield’s electric atmosphere, should overpower a West Ham side lacking consistency. Potter’s tactical discipline might limit the damage early, with Kudus posing a counter-threat, but Liverpool’s depth and pressing (69.1% win probability in Opta simulations) are likely to produce a decisive victory. Expect goals, with Van Dijk shutting down West Ham’s attack.

  • Score Prediction: Liverpool 3-0 West Ham
  • Key Factors: Liverpool’s five-goal hauls against West Ham, Salah’s scoring streak, and West Ham’s 1.1 goals per away game average.
  • Betting Tip: Liverpool to win with over 2.5 total goals (odds ~1.80), reflecting their attacking dominance against West Ham’s shaky defense.

Broader Context and Notes

  • Kevin De Bruyne’s Relevance: While De Bruyne’s openness to new sporting projects has sparked transfer talk, it doesn’t directly affect these matches, as he remains with Manchester City. Speculation about a move to Chelsea could signal ambition for 2025-26, but no credible links exist yet.
  • Premier League Stakes: Liverpool need just 11 points to secure the title, making every game a step toward glory. Chelsea’s top-four push is intensified by the extra Champions League spot, while Ipswich’s relegation alongside Southampton and Leicester seems all but confirmed. West Ham’s mid-table limbo leaves them as potential disruptors.
  • Statistical Backbone: Predictions draw on Opta’s advanced metrics (xG, win probabilities), recent form from BBC Sport and Sky Sports, and betting trends from Goal.com, ensuring a robust outlook.

These matches encapsulate the Premier League’s drama: a title chase, a European quest, and a relegation fight. Chelsea and Liverpool, as heavy favorites, will look to assert dominance, but Ipswich and West Ham have the potential to surprise if they seize rare chances. For fans, it’s a Sunday of high stakes and electric football.

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